
Jeremy Guthrie
It’s no different now than when it was April 27, exactly 2 months and 1 day when the Orioles lost to Texas 6-4 (Box). Well, some things are different, like the outcome. The O’s were fortunate to beat the Gnats 6-3 (Box). But, the outcome should have been the same today as it was against Texas on a Monday night at OPACY, except the Natinals are so bad that they gift wrapped a win for our ace-by-slot.
Comparing the game against Texas on April 27 and today’s game against D.C.’s worst, you’ll find very similar data (Top row Texas, bottom row Washington):
| IP |
H |
R |
ER |
BB |
SO |
HR |
ERA |
| 5.0 |
6 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
4 |
1 |
5.20 |
| 5.0 |
5 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
0 |
5.11 |
Texas – Pitches-strikes: 101-69, Groundouts-Flyouts: 2-9, Batters Faced – 22
D.C. – Pitches-strikes: 95-58, Groundouts-Flyouts: 7-6, Batters Faced – 21
The big issue, and one that has been well discussed and documented, is Guthrie’s 1st inning troubles. Usually it’s round-tripper issues, but ultimately the biggest problem is high pitch-counts. In April versus the Rangers, Jeremy’s 1st IP was 37. Against the D.C. Nasties it was 38. To me, these two game (and a whole lot of other ones) are remarkable and eerily similar to what he does practically every outing, almost to the pitch! Therefore, when a pitcher’s numbers are that predictable, you know you’re not dealing with a slump. You’re dealing with habit. Guthrie has a mechanics issue – pure and simple.
Now, I’m not Rick Kranitz, so I can’t explain to Jeremy how to keep his fastball out of the middle of the plate and belt high. I also can’t teach him how to add movement to his fastball other than to tell him not to overthrow the pitch. But, the guy is just serving up juicy meatballs over and over. If the Nationals were hungry they would have enjoyed Jeremy’s buffet.